Mortgage rates climbed in March, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.38%, tightening affordability and slowing activity. Applications and refinancing both dropped as higher Treasury yields pushed borrowing costs up. The takeaway: success now depends on underwriting deals at current rates, not future hopes.
3 mins read | April 2026
The U.S. mortgage market got more complicated in March. Rates started the year as low as 5.98% but climbed back up through March, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.38% by March 26. (The Mortgage Reports) Geopolitical tensions and oil price fears pushed Treasury yields higher through the back half of the month, lifting borrowing costs and deepening affordability challenges. (TRADING ECONOMICS) Mortgage applications fell sharply, with total applications dropping over 10% and refinancing activity collapsing nearly 15%. (TRADING ECONOMICS) Rates are still well below the 7%+ levels seen in early 2025, but the path lower is not a straight line. For real estate investors, the environment rewards those who underwrite to current rates, not optimistic projections. Deals still get done when the numbers work at today’s cost of capital.